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Oregon vs Fresno State: By the Numbers

By Brian Spaen

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Derek Carr looked pretty good last week…against a team who ranked 108th in pass defense…in the FCS. Mandatory Credit: Jake Roth-US PRESSWIRE

Ducks against Arkansas State last week:

  • Both quarterbacks (Mariota and Bennett): 28-39 passing, 308 yards passing – that’s just four more yards than the Red Wolves starter.
  • RB De’Anthony Thomas: 3 carries, 64 yards, 1 TD / 4 catches, 55 yards, 2 TDs
  • DE Dion Jordan: one tackle, completed two-point conversion
  • Gave up 530 yards, which is good for 108th in total team defense in the FBS after opening weekend.

Bulldogs against Weber State last week:

  • 37-10 victory at home (season opener)
  • Balanced offensive attack for the Bulldogs with 515 total offensive yards.
  • Picked up 25 first downs.
  • Junior QB Derek Carr: 20-25 passing, 298 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs
  • RB Robbie Rouse: 22 carries, 123 yards, 2 TDs
  • Only converted 4-11 third downs.
  • Gave up 16 first downs (9 on pass plays).
  • Committed seven penalties for 80 yards.

So…how good is the FCS opponent, Weber State?

  • 2011 FBS opponents: at Wyoming (35-32 loss), at Utah State (54-17 loss)
  • Ranked 110th in total defense (108th in pass defense, 80th in rush) last season.
  • Also had clear separation from top of the Big Sky Conference (Montana, Montana State, Eastern Washington – lost to all three of them by a combined 116-55 points)

In summary…

Fresno State’s quarterback had an efficient night, but Weber State can’t stop anything. The Wildcats are a middle of the pack FCS team, finishing at 5-6 a season ago.

For the sports bettors:

  • Line opened up at Oregon favored by 33.5 points and the total set at 73.5 (now favored by 35 points and total is at 77.5)
  • Ducks are 0-3-1 ATS in last four games favored by 10.5 points or greater.
  • Over is 4-0 in last four games when Bulldogs are 10.5 or greater underdogs.

Brian Spaen is the lead editor for Autzen Zoo, follow the site on Facebook and Twitter. Read his other work on the Iowa State blog, Clones Confidential, and Lacrosse the Web.