Odds shift ahead of Oregon vs Indiana matchup in CFP

Jan 1, 2026; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; Oregon Ducks punter Ross James (92) celebrates following the 2025 Orange Bowl and quarterfinal game of the College Football Playoff against the Texas Tech Red Raiders at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images
Jan 1, 2026; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; Oregon Ducks punter Ross James (92) celebrates following the 2025 Orange Bowl and quarterfinal game of the College Football Playoff against the Texas Tech Red Raiders at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images | Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

Oregon meets No. 1 Indiana in the Peach Bowl College Football Playoff semifinal, Friday night at 4:30 p.m. PT from Mercedes Benz Stadium in Atlanta, televised on ESPN.

Back in October, the Hoosiers manhandled the Ducks in Autzen Stadium, pulling away in the fourth quarter with a touchdown drive and two interceptions to win 30-20. Saturday at the Rose Bowl, Curt Cignetti's squad trounced Alabama 38-3.

So it was a bit of surprise when the opening odds forecast the playoff favorites to win a tight, close game in the rematch. Indiana opened as a four-point favorite with an over/under of 48.5.

Hoosiers remain favored, but the line moves closer

Three days closer to gametime, the point spread has notched down to the Hoosiers -3.5, and the over/under has dropped to 46.5. The Ducks are +150 on the Moneyline, the Big Ten Championships -180.

One factor in the line movement is two key injuries on the Indiana defense. Defensive ends Stephen Daley and Kellan Wyatt will miss the game with a leg and a knee injury. Daley had 19 tackles for loss this season, tops in the Big Ten, and 5.5 sacks.

The first of three mandatory official injury reports is due out this afternoon from both teams.

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