Predicting how many Pac-12 teams will make the women's NCAA Tournament

The Pac-12 women’s basketball conference is good. However, there are only 68 spots available in the NCAA Tournament bracket. So who's in and who's out?
Oregon v Stanford
Oregon v Stanford / Brandon Vallance/GettyImages
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The Pac-12 women’s basketball conference is good. In fact, it’s really good. Maybe even great. Half of the conference is in the Top 25 as a matter of fact.

However, there are only 68 spots available in the NCAA Tournament bracket. And yes, 68 sounds like a lot. It is a lot.

But, if you think about how the Pac-12 is just one conference out of the five “Power-5” conferences, and even in the Pac-12 there are already, well, 12 schools, then 68 doesn’t sound like that big of a number.

If every school from every Power-5 conference got an automatic bid for March Madness, there would have to be one left out because that’s 69 schools. Not to mention all of the other schools, that may be, if not are, just as good as some of the Power-5 schools.

It's pretty exciting stuff and if you overthink, you're doing it correctly. It's called Madness for a reason after all.

I hope I haven’t lost you. The moral of the story is that not everyone in the world gets into the NCAA Tournament and definitely not everyone in the Pac-12 gets in either.

With all that (hopefully) cleared up, here’s who I expect to make the cut (from the Pac-12) for a chance to go dancing in March:

  • Stanford
  • Colorado
  • UCLA
  • USC
  • Oregon State
  • Utah
  • Washington State

Now that’s a lot of teams from just one conference. Not to mention it’s more than 50 percent of the Pac-12 programs. However, six of those seven teams are already in the AP Women's Basketball Top 25:

This means that the only teams who would get left out would be:

  • Washington
  • California
  • Arizona
  • Oregon
  • Arizona State

Out of those five schools, I imagine that UW and Cal will get a chance at the NIT Tournament if they can go on a winning streak.

Arizona, Oregon, and Arizona State are all currently hovering at about .500 for their overall records and I don’t see them seeing any post-Pac-12 Tournament time.

Dec 21, 2013; Eugene, OR, USA; Oregon Ducks Mascot reacts.
Dec 21, 2013; Eugene, OR, USA; Oregon Ducks Mascot reacts. / Scott Olmos-USA TODAY Sports

Sorry Duck fans, your team won’t go dancing this spring but as always, it’s Sco Ducks.

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